10* Free NBA Pick (Wolves -3.5)

I think we are getting some great value here with the Timberwolves laying a small number at home against the Knicks. New York is getting a lot of love from the books due to the fact that they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, but they come in off back-to-back losses and are just 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS on the road this season. The Timberwolves haven't been as good as expected, but are a team I think is only going to keep getting better as the season moves on. This is a big spot for them, as they have something to prove after losing at home last time out against the Jazz. This is also a tough spot for New York to get up for this game, as these two teams will turn around and play in New York on Friday. Give me the Timberwolves -3.5!

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Free Pick on Spurs -

I have no problem laying a big number on the road with the Spurs against the Mavericks. San Antonio will be in a foul mood Wednesday, as they had their 9-game winning streak snapped at home against the Magic of all teams. The Spurs simply didn't have it, as they shot just 36.8% (28-76) from the field and a mere 25% (5-20) from 3-point range. They were also sloppy with the ball, committing a season-high 18 turnovers.

No Spurs player played more than 32 minutes, so we should see a full roster from SA tonight. Even if Popovich decides to rest some players, this Mavs team is one they can beat by double-digits with their reserves. Dallas comes in off a surprising 91-81 win over the Pelicans, but are still a mere 3-13 on the season, scoring just 91.5 ppg.

These two teams recently played in San Antonio on 11/21. The Spurs won 96-91, but if you remember that was the game where Popovich blasted his players for how poorly they played in the win. That's going to only add more fuel to the fire here for San Antonio, who comes in a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS on the road this season.

Spurs are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 or more points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days of rest. Mavs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after covering the number in their last contest. Take San Antonio!

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