The Bills defense continues to look strong as was the case last week in the win over the Falcons, holding Matt Ryan to 242 passing yards and in the previous week held down a good Broncos team for 17 points in a home win. The Bills D, has been solid  allowing an average of 13.5 ppg and I'm betting on more of the same this week vs a Bengals offense that despite of unloading vs lowly Cleveland last week for 31 points, did not score a TD in their first two games and are averaging just 16 ppg in offensive production.  Meanwhile, The Bengals defense that is allowing 16.7 ppg had no problem against the Browns nasty offense last week, allowing only 215 total yards, which included allowing just 45 rushing yards. Their defense has been of the top tier variety  in three of their four games and i'm betting will once again be stoppers this week vs Buffalos conservative attack. With that said, I'm expecting  a combined score that does not eclipse the total.

CINCINNATI is 16-4 UNDER  L/20 after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games .CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER  L/14 in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points with a combined average of 36 ppg getting scored. Both these teams have gone under in 4 of their 4 games.

NFL Road teams against the total like the Bills - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team ( 75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 23-4 UNDER dating back 5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams against the total like the Bengals - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 23-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

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